Premier League · Matchweek 15
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
Everton
EVE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Brighton51%
Draw25%
Everton25%
Expected goals
1.77 – 1.20
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.0%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–09.6%
- 2–07.8%
- 1–26.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Brighton will have the ball; Everton will not mind.
70%Possession41%
44%Territory40%
29%From set plays27%
0.11Chance quality0.10
4.6%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Brighton, 3 for Everton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Brighton
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.