Premier League · Matchweek 15
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
Everton
EVE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Brighton63%
Draw23%
Everton14%
Expected goals
1.88 – 0.82
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.2%
- 2–011.8%
- 1–110.2%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
53%Possession45%
35%Territory43%
40%From set plays35%
0.11Chance quality0.07
7.2%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Brighton, 2 for Everton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Brighton
Everton
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.