Premier League · Matchweek 14
Nottingham Forest
NFO
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nottm Forest37%
Draw26%
Brighton37%
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.53
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–18.2%
- 0–17.7%
- 1–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Brighton will have the ball; Nottm Forest will not mind.
39%Possession70%
36%Territory44%
19%From set plays29%
0.12Chance quality0.11
7.8%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Nottm Forest, 3 for Brighton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.