Premier League · Matchweek 14
Nottingham Forest
NFO
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nottm Forest31%
Draw29%
Brighton40%
Expected goals
1.15 – 1.32
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 0–111.5%
- 1–09.8%
- 0–09.7%
- 1–28.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Brighton will have the ball; Nottm Forest will not mind.
45%Possession53%
34%Territory35%
30%From set plays40%
0.09Chance quality0.11
7.8%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Nottm Forest, 3 for Brighton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.