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Premier League · Matchweek 14

Everton

EVE

Fulham

FUL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Everton45%
Draw28%
Fulham28%

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.12

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.4%
  • 1011.4%
  • 219.1%
  • 008.5%
  • 018.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Fulham will have the ball; Everton will not mind.

41%Possession56%
40%Territory39%
27%From set plays22%
0.10Chance quality0.09
3.8%Directness3.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Everton, 3 for Fulham. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.