Premier League · Matchweek 14
Everton
EVE
Fulham
FUL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Everton28%
Draw31%
Fulham41%
Expected goals
0.99 – 1.25
Over 2.5
39%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.5%
- 1–113.3%
- 0–012.0%
- 1–010.5%
- 1–28.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
45%Possession65%
43%Territory39%
35%From set plays25%
0.07Chance quality0.09
5.9%Directness3.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Everton, 3 for Fulham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Everton
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.