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Premier League · Matchweek 13

Tottenham Hotspur

TOT

Fulham

FUL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Tottenham37%
Draw30%
Fulham33%

Expected goals

1.22 – 1.13

Over 2.5

41%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1113.3%
  • 1011.8%
  • 0011.0%
  • 0110.9%
  • 218.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Tottenham get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

60%Possession56%
48%Territory39%
40%From set plays22%
0.07Chance quality0.09
3.9%Directness3.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Tottenham, 3 for Fulham. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Tottenham

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.