Premier League · Matchweek 13
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
Fulham
FUL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Tottenham42%
Draw31%
Fulham27%
Expected goals
1.23 – 0.96
Over 2.5
37%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.1%
- 1–113.3%
- 0–012.6%
- 0–110.6%
- 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
71%Possession65%
52%Territory39%
29%From set plays25%
0.07Chance quality0.09
2.6%Directness3.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Tottenham, 3 for Fulham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.