Premier League · Matchweek 13
AFC Bournemouth
AFC
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bournemouth41%
Draw24%
Brighton35%
Expected goals
1.74 – 1.60
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
67%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.2%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–27.7%
- 2–27.0%
- 1–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Brighton will have the ball; Bournemouth will not mind.
53%Possession70%
41%Territory44%
30%From set plays29%
0.10Chance quality0.11
5.2%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bournemouth, 3 for Brighton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.