Premier League · Matchweek 12
Fulham
FUL
AFC Bournemouth
AFC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Fulham35%
Draw26%
Bournemouth39%
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.51
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 1–28.5%
- 0–18.3%
- 2–18.0%
- 1–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
56%Possession53%
39%Territory41%
22%From set plays30%
0.09Chance quality0.10
3.7%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fulham, 3 for Bournemouth. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.