Premier League · Matchweek 12
Fulham
FUL
AFC Bournemouth
AFC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Fulham32%
Draw28%
Bournemouth41%
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.44
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 0–110.2%
- 1–28.8%
- 1–08.6%
- 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Fulham will have the ball; Bournemouth will not mind.
65%Possession49%
39%Territory39%
25%From set plays10%
0.09Chance quality0.16
3.6%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fulham, 3 for Bournemouth. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.