Premier League · Matchweek 12
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
Newcastle United
NEW
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Brighton53%
Draw23%
Newcastle24%
Expected goals
1.95 – 1.28
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.0%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–08.3%
- 2–07.4%
- 2–26.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Brighton will have the ball; Newcastle will not mind.
70%Possession50%
44%Territory34%
29%From set plays38%
0.11Chance quality0.09
4.6%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Brighton, 3 for Newcastle. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Brighton
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.