Premier League · Matchweek 11
Manchester City
MCI
Fulham
FUL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Man City65%
Draw21%
Fulham14%
Expected goals
2.11 – 0.92
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–010.8%
- 2–010.8%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.3%
- 3–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Man City will have the ball; Fulham will not mind.
65%Possession56%
44%Territory39%
24%From set plays22%
0.15Chance quality0.09
3.9%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Man City, 3 for Fulham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.