Premier League · Matchweek 11
Hull City
HUL
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hull22%
Draw26%
Brighton52%
Expected goals
1.00 – 1.64
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–112.2%
- 1–111.7%
- 1–29.7%
- 0–29.3%
- 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Brighton will have the ball; Hull will not mind.
35%Possession53%
29%Territory35%
38%From set plays40%
0.08Chance quality0.11
7.3%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hull, 3 for Brighton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.