Premier League · Matchweek 11
Hull City
HUL
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hull28%
Draw25%
Brighton47%
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.69
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–19.1%
- 0–27.0%
- 2–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Brighton will have the ball; Hull will not mind.
30%Possession70%
33%Territory44%
10%From set plays29%
0.09Chance quality0.11
8.4%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hull, 3 for Brighton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.