Premier League · Matchweek 10
Fulham
FUL
Newcastle United
NEW
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Fulham45%
Draw27%
Newcastle28%
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.14
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–011.2%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–18.2%
- 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Fulham will have the ball; Newcastle will not mind.
65%Possession55%
39%Territory46%
25%From set plays16%
0.09Chance quality0.09
3.6%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fulham, 3 for Newcastle. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.