Premier League · Matchweek 10
Fulham
FUL
Newcastle United
NEW
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Fulham40%
Draw27%
Newcastle33%
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.33
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–18.3%
- 1–27.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Newcastle get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
56%Possession50%
39%Territory34%
22%From set plays38%
0.09Chance quality0.09
3.7%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fulham, 3 for Newcastle. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.