Premier League · Matchweek 10
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
Brentford
BRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Brighton49%
Draw24%
Brentford27%
Expected goals
1.88 – 1.37
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.2%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–07.8%
- 2–06.7%
- 1–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Brighton will have the ball; Brentford will not mind.
70%Possession48%
44%Territory39%
29%From set plays33%
0.11Chance quality0.08
4.6%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Brighton, 3 for Brentford. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Brighton
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.