Premier League · Matchweek 8
Crystal Palace
CRY
Newcastle United
NEW
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Crystal Palace38%
Draw26%
Newcastle36%
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.48
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–28.1%
- 1–08.0%
- 0–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Newcastle will have the ball; Crystal Palace will not mind.
37%Possession50%
30%Territory34%
11%From set plays38%
0.11Chance quality0.09
5.4%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Crystal Palace, 3 for Newcastle. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Crystal Palace
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.