Premier League · Matchweek 6
Sunderland
SUN
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sunderland32%
Draw26%
Brighton41%
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.55
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 0–19.0%
- 1–28.9%
- 1–07.7%
- 2–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Brighton will have the ball; Sunderland will not mind.
45%Possession70%
40%Territory44%
37%From set plays29%
0.15Chance quality0.11
8.1%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sunderland, 3 for Brighton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sunderland
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.