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Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 12

Motherwell

MOT

St. Mirren

STM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Motherwell44%
Draw24%
St. Mirren32%

Expected goals

1.80 – 1.52

Over 2.5

63%

Both to score

66%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1110.2%
  • 218.9%
  • 127.3%
  • 107.0%
  • 226.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Motherwell will have the ball; St. Mirren will not mind.

64%Possession46%
40%Territory34%
14%From set plays18%
0.09Chance quality0.11
2.8%Directness7.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Motherwell, 4 for St. Mirren.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.