Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 11
St. Johnstone
STJ
Motherwell
MOT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
St. Johnstone42%
Draw25%
Motherwell33%
Expected goals
1.70 – 1.50
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.7%
- 2–18.8%
- 1–27.6%
- 1–07.4%
- 2–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Motherwell will have the ball; St. Johnstone will not mind.
50%Possession64%
36%Territory40%
15%From set plays14%
0.14Chance quality0.09
3.4%Directness2.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for St. Johnstone, 4 for Motherwell.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.