Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 10
Motherwell
MOT
Heart of Midlothian
HEA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Motherwell36%
Draw25%
Hearts38%
Expected goals
1.57 – 1.62
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 1–28.4%
- 2–18.1%
- 0–17.1%
- 1–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
64%Possession57%
40%Territory31%
14%From set plays26%
0.09Chance quality0.12
2.8%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Motherwell, 4 for Hearts.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Motherwell
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.