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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 9

Kilmarnock

KIL

Motherwell

MOT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Kilmarnock38%
Draw25%
Motherwell36%

Expected goals

1.60 – 1.56

Over 2.5

60%

Both to score

64%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.8%
  • 2–18.4%
  • 1–28.1%
  • 1–07.2%
  • 0–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Motherwell will have the ball; Kilmarnock will not mind.

46%Possession64%
39%Territory40%
32%From set plays14%
0.10Chance quality0.09
5.3%Directness2.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Kilmarnock, 4 for Motherwell.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.