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Eredivisie · Matchweek 26

Cambuur

CAM

ADO Den Haag

ADO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Cambuur51%
Draw27%
ADO Den Haag22%

Expected goals

1.53 – 0.94

Over 2.5

44%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–013.4%
  • 1–112.2%
  • 2–09.5%
  • 0–09.4%
  • 2–19.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

ADO Den Haag will have the ball; Cambuur will not mind.

45%Possession57%
31%Territory38%
31%From set plays11%
0.12Chance quality0.07
6.3%Directness7.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cambuur, 3 for ADO Den Haag. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.