Eredivisie · Matchweek 24
Cambuur
CAM
PEC Zwolle
PEC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cambuur49%
Draw28%
PEC Zwolle23%
Expected goals
1.46 – 0.95
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.5%
- 1–112.5%
- 0–010.0%
- 2–19.2%
- 2–09.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
45%Possession38%
31%Territory35%
31%From set plays39%
0.12Chance quality0.09
6.3%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cambuur, 3 for PEC Zwolle. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.