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Eredivisie · Matchweek 22

Cambuur

CAM

FC Utrecht

FCU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Cambuur41%
Draw29%
FC Utrecht30%

Expected goals

1.35 – 1.12

Over 2.5

44%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.9%
  • 1–011.8%
  • 0–09.7%
  • 0–19.6%
  • 2–18.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

FC Utrecht will have the ball; Cambuur will not mind.

45%Possession54%
31%Territory42%
31%From set plays30%
0.12Chance quality0.08
6.3%Directness5.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cambuur, 3 for FC Utrecht. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.