Eredivisie · Matchweek 22
Cambuur
CAM
FC Utrecht
FCU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cambuur34%
Draw28%
FC Utrecht38%
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.36
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 0–110.1%
- 1–09.4%
- 1–28.4%
- 0–08.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
43%Possession43%
35%Territory32%
18%From set plays9%
0.13Chance quality0.22
6.6%Directness6.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cambuur, 3 for FC Utrecht. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.