Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Eredivisie · Matchweek 20

Go Ahead Eagles

GOA

Cambuur

CAM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Go Ahead Eagles40%
Draw29%
Cambuur32%

Expected goals

1.35 – 1.18

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.8%
  • 1–011.1%
  • 0–19.6%
  • 0–09.2%
  • 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Cambuur get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

52%Possession45%
34%Territory31%
16%From set plays31%
0.09Chance quality0.12
6.2%Directness6.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Go Ahead Eagles, 3 for Cambuur. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.