Eredivisie · Matchweek 19
Cambuur
CAM
Willem II
WIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cambuur46%
Draw27%
Willem II27%
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.14
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–011.0%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–17.9%
- 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
43%Possession40%
35%Territory35%
18%From set plays7%
0.13Chance quality0.13
6.6%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cambuur, 4 for Willem II. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.