Eredivisie · Matchweek 19
Cambuur
CAM
Willem II
WIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cambuur59%
Draw23%
Willem II17%
Expected goals
1.85 – 0.93
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.0%
- 1–110.6%
- 2–010.5%
- 2–19.9%
- 0–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Cambuur get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
45%Possession44%
31%Territory33%
31%From set plays11%
0.12Chance quality0.18
6.3%Directness8.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cambuur, 3 for Willem II. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.