Club Football Intelligence

Eredivisie · Matchweek 18

Sun, 10 Jan, 11:15 UTC

NEC Nijmegen

NEC

11:15 UTC

Cambuur

CAM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

NEC Nijmegen56%

Draw24%

Cambuur20%

Expected goals

1.86 – 1.06

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

1–110.7%
1–010.6%
2–19.9%
2–09.3%
3–16.1%

How they playPossession, press, how they create

NEC Nijmegen will have the ball; Cambuur will not mind.

61%Possession43%

42%Territory35%

17%From set plays18%

0.14Chance quality0.13

3.3%Directness6.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for NEC Nijmegen, 3 for Cambuur. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

NEC Nijmegen

Tjaronn CheryMF2G 0A 0.67/90
Darko NejašmićMF1G 0A 0.50/90
Adam TahauiMF1G 0A 0.40/90

Cambuur

Ilyès HamacheMF3G 1A 2.01/90
Nicolas BinderFW1G 1A 0.98/90
Jamal AmofaDF0G 1A 0.50/90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.