Eredivisie · Matchweek 18
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
Cambuur
CAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
NEC Nijmegen52%
Draw26%
Cambuur22%
Expected goals
1.59 – 0.97
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.8%
- 1–111.9%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–09.5%
- 0–08.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
NEC Nijmegen will have the ball; Cambuur will not mind.
65%Possession45%
58%Territory31%
39%From set plays31%
0.09Chance quality0.12
4.5%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for NEC Nijmegen, 3 for Cambuur. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.