Eredivisie · Matchweek 17
Cambuur
CAM
FC Groningen
FCG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cambuur40%
Draw27%
FC Groningen33%
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.34
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–09.2%
- 2–18.6%
- 0–18.3%
- 1–27.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
45%Possession50%
31%Territory37%
31%From set plays17%
0.12Chance quality0.14
6.3%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cambuur, 3 for FC Groningen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.