Eredivisie · Matchweek 17
Cambuur
CAM
FC Groningen
FCG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cambuur32%
Draw28%
FC Groningen40%
Expected goals
1.23 – 1.39
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 0–110.5%
- 1–09.1%
- 1–28.6%
- 0–08.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
43%Possession51%
35%Territory45%
18%From set plays13%
0.13Chance quality0.07
6.6%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cambuur, 3 for FC Groningen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.