Eredivisie · Matchweek 16
Ajax
AJA
Cambuur
CAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Ajax67%
Draw20%
Cambuur13%
Expected goals
2.13 – 0.88
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–011.3%
- 1–011.1%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.2%
- 3–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Ajax will have the ball; Cambuur will not mind.
62%Possession43%
59%Territory35%
20%From set plays18%
0.13Chance quality0.13
3.6%Directness6.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Ajax, 3 for Cambuur. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.