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Eredivisie · Matchweek 15

SC Heerenveen

SCH

Cambuur

CAM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

SC Heerenveen51%
Draw26%
Cambuur23%

Expected goals

1.61 – 1.03

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–012.0%
  • 1–111.9%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 2–08.9%
  • 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Cambuur get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

46%Possession45%
31%Territory31%
7%From set plays31%
0.18Chance quality0.12
7.2%Directness6.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for SC Heerenveen, 3 for Cambuur. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.