Club Football Intelligence

Eredivisie · Matchweek 15

Sun, 6 Dec, 11:15 UTC

SC Heerenveen

SCH

11:15 UTC

Cambuur

CAM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

SC Heerenveen55%

Draw26%

Cambuur19%

Expected goals

1.66 – 0.91

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

1–013.2%
1–111.5%
2–010.3%
2–19.7%
0–08.5%

How they playPossession, press, how they create

SC Heerenveen will have the ball; Cambuur will not mind.

57%Possession43%

45%Territory35%

24%From set plays18%

0.10Chance quality0.13

4.9%Directness6.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for SC Heerenveen, 3 for Cambuur. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

SC Heerenveen

Dylan VenteFW0G 2A 0.73/90
Dirk ProperMF0G 1A 0.55/90
Nolhan CourtensMF1G 0A 0.36/90

Cambuur

Ilyès HamacheMF3G 1A 2.01/90
Nicolas BinderFW1G 1A 0.98/90
Jamal AmofaDF0G 1A 0.50/90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.