Eredivisie · Matchweek 14
Cambuur
CAM
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cambuur42%
Draw27%
Sparta Rotterdam31%
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.23
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–010.3%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–18.5%
- 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Cambuur get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
45%Possession44%
31%Territory39%
31%From set plays7%
0.12Chance quality0.19
6.3%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cambuur, 3 for Sparta Rotterdam. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.