Eredivisie · Matchweek 14
Cambuur
CAM
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cambuur35%
Draw28%
Sparta Rotterdam36%
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.31
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 0–110.0%
- 1–09.8%
- 0–08.7%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
43%Possession45%
35%Territory37%
18%From set plays27%
0.13Chance quality0.15
6.6%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cambuur, 3 for Sparta Rotterdam. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.