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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Eredivisie · Matchweek 13

FC Utrecht

FCU

Cambuur

CAM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

FC Utrecht41%
Draw29%
Cambuur30%

Expected goals

1.34 – 1.13

Over 2.5

44%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.9%
  • 1–011.7%
  • 0–09.7%
  • 0–19.7%
  • 2–18.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

FC Utrecht will have the ball; Cambuur will not mind.

54%Possession45%
42%Territory31%
30%From set plays31%
0.08Chance quality0.12
5.9%Directness6.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Utrecht, 3 for Cambuur. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.