Eredivisie · Matchweek 13
FC Utrecht
FCU
Cambuur
CAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Utrecht50%
Draw26%
Cambuur24%
Expected goals
1.62 – 1.07
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–011.5%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–08.6%
- 0–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
43%Possession43%
32%Territory35%
9%From set plays18%
0.22Chance quality0.13
6.9%Directness6.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Utrecht, 3 for Cambuur. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.