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Eredivisie · Matchweek 12

Cambuur

CAM

PSV Eindhoven

PSV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Cambuur22%
Draw26%
PSV Eindhoven52%

Expected goals

1.00 – 1.64

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–112.3%
  • 1–111.7%
  • 1–29.7%
  • 0–29.3%
  • 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

PSV Eindhoven will have the ball; Cambuur will not mind.

45%Possession56%
31%Territory51%
31%From set plays39%
0.12Chance quality0.10
6.3%Directness6.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cambuur, 3 for PSV Eindhoven. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.