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Eredivisie · Matchweek 11

Cambuur

CAM

Go Ahead Eagles

GOA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Cambuur32%
Draw27%
Go Ahead Eagles41%

Expected goals

1.30 – 1.49

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.1%
  • 019.6%
  • 128.8%
  • 108.2%
  • 217.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Go Ahead Eagles will have the ball; Cambuur will not mind.

43%Possession52%
35%Territory39%
18%From set plays21%
0.13Chance quality0.15
6.6%Directness5.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cambuur, 3 for Go Ahead Eagles. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.