Eredivisie · Matchweek 10
Willem II
WIL
Cambuur
CAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Willem II38%
Draw28%
Cambuur34%
Expected goals
1.36 – 1.29
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–09.9%
- 0–19.4%
- 2–18.3%
- 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
40%Possession43%
35%Territory35%
7%From set plays18%
0.13Chance quality0.13
5.5%Directness6.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Willem II, 3 for Cambuur. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.