Eredivisie · Matchweek 10
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
FC Groningen
FCG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
NEC Nijmegen46%
Draw26%
FC Groningen28%
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.21
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–010.1%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–17.5%
- 2–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
NEC Nijmegen will have the ball; FC Groningen will not mind.
61%Possession51%
42%Territory45%
17%From set plays13%
0.14Chance quality0.07
3.3%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for NEC Nijmegen, 3 for FC Groningen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.