Eredivisie · Matchweek 9
Cambuur
CAM
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cambuur22%
Draw26%
AZ Alkmaar52%
Expected goals
1.04 – 1.67
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–111.7%
- 1–111.6%
- 1–29.7%
- 0–29.0%
- 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
AZ Alkmaar will have the ball; Cambuur will not mind.
43%Possession58%
35%Territory55%
18%From set plays15%
0.13Chance quality0.11
6.6%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cambuur, 3 for AZ Alkmaar. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.