Eredivisie · Matchweek 9
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
Fortuna Sittard
FOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
NEC Nijmegen57%
Draw24%
Fortuna Sittard19%
Expected goals
1.85 – 1.02
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.0%
- 1–110.7%
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.6%
- 0–06.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
NEC Nijmegen will have the ball; Fortuna Sittard will not mind.
61%Possession36%
42%Territory31%
17%From set plays4%
0.14Chance quality0.09
3.3%Directness7.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for NEC Nijmegen, 3 for Fortuna Sittard. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.