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Eredivisie · Matchweek 8

PEC Zwolle

PEC

Cambuur

CAM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

PEC Zwolle35%
Draw28%
Cambuur36%

Expected goals

1.30 – 1.32

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.7%
  • 0110.0%
  • 109.8%
  • 008.6%
  • 128.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

45%Possession43%
28%Territory35%
24%From set plays18%
0.11Chance quality0.13
5.0%Directness6.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for PEC Zwolle, 3 for Cambuur. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.