Eredivisie · Matchweek 7
ADO Den Haag
ADO
Cambuur
CAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
ADO Den Haag35%
Draw30%
Cambuur36%
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.21
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.2%
- 0–111.2%
- 1–011.0%
- 0–010.5%
- 1–27.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
43%Possession43%
36%Territory35%
22%From set plays18%
0.04Chance quality0.13
6.6%Directness6.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for ADO Den Haag, 3 for Cambuur. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.