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Serie A · Matchweek 25

Como

COM

Torino

TOR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Como66%
Draw21%
Torino13%

Expected goals

1.97 – 0.77

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

47%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–013.3%
  • 2–012.4%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–19.7%
  • 3–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Como will have the ball; Torino will not mind.

62%Possession44%
48%Territory31%
23%From set plays25%
0.12Chance quality0.12
3.2%Directness5.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Como, 5 for Torino.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.