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Serie A · Matchweek 24

Bologna

BOL

Como

COM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Bologna22%
Draw27%
Como51%

Expected goals

0.99 – 1.59

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–112.5%
  • 1–112.0%
  • 1–29.5%
  • 0–29.2%
  • 0–08.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Como will have the ball; Bologna will not mind.

43%Possession62%
39%Territory48%
34%From set plays23%
0.17Chance quality0.12
4.9%Directness3.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Bologna, 4 for Como.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.