Serie A · Matchweek 23
Como
COM
Monza
MON
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Como73%
Draw18%
Monza10%
Expected goals
2.29 – 0.75
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–012.7%
- 1–011.5%
- 2–19.4%
- 3–09.3%
- 1–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Como will have the ball; Monza will not mind.
62%Possession43%
48%Territory37%
23%From set plays22%
0.12Chance quality0.16
3.2%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Como, 4 for Monza.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.