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Serie A · Matchweek 22

Sassuolo

SAS

Como

COM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sassuolo14%
Draw21%
Como66%

Expected goals

0.88 – 2.08

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–111.4%
  • 0–211.3%
  • 1–29.9%
  • 1–19.4%
  • 0–37.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Como will have the ball; Sassuolo will not mind.

50%Possession62%
36%Territory48%
13%From set plays23%
0.14Chance quality0.12
4.0%Directness3.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Sassuolo, 4 for Como.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 99 matches, not the full season.