Serie A · Matchweek 20
Cagliari
CAG
Como
COM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cagliari19%
Draw25%
Como56%
Expected goals
0.88 – 1.67
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.5%
- 1–111.4%
- 0–210.6%
- 1–29.7%
- 0–08.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Como will have the ball; Cagliari will not mind.
44%Possession62%
32%Territory48%
19%From set plays23%
0.13Chance quality0.12
6.2%Directness3.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Cagliari, 4 for Como.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 100 matches, not the full season.