Serie A · Matchweek 20
Cagliari
CAG
Como
COM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cagliari19%
Draw25%
Como57%
Expected goals
0.94 – 1.76
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–112.4%
- 1–111.1%
- 0–210.2%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Como will have the ball; Cagliari will not mind.
39%Possession61%
31%Territory52%
29%From set plays19%
0.13Chance quality0.08
5.2%Directness3.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cagliari, 3 for Como. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.