Serie A · Matchweek 19
Como
COM
Lazio
LAZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Como56%
Draw25%
Lazio19%
Expected goals
1.69 – 0.92
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.0%
- 1–111.4%
- 2–010.2%
- 2–19.7%
- 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Como will have the ball; Lazio will not mind.
61%Possession47%
52%Territory41%
19%From set plays21%
0.08Chance quality0.15
3.5%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Como, 3 for Lazio. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.