Serie A · Matchweek 18
Atalanta
ATA
Como
COM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Atalanta27%
Draw27%
Como46%
Expected goals
1.14 – 1.53
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 0–111.1%
- 1–29.3%
- 1–08.0%
- 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Como will have the ball; Atalanta will not mind.
46%Possession61%
42%Territory52%
9%From set plays19%
0.07Chance quality0.08
4.8%Directness3.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Atalanta, 3 for Como. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Atalanta
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.