Serie A · Matchweek 18
Atalanta
ATA
Como
COM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Atalanta26%
Draw26%
Como48%
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.66
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 0–110.2%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–27.8%
- 1–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Como will have the ball; Atalanta will not mind.
44%Possession62%
39%Territory48%
15%From set plays23%
0.13Chance quality0.12
4.8%Directness3.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Atalanta, 4 for Como.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.