Serie A · Matchweek 17
Como
COM
Lecce
LEC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Como77%
Draw16%
Lecce8%
Expected goals
2.40 – 0.67
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
-1.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–013.6%
- 1–011.7%
- 3–010.5%
- 2–18.9%
- 1–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Como will have the ball; Lecce will not mind.
61%Possession44%
52%Territory34%
19%From set plays61%
0.08Chance quality0.11
3.5%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Como, 3 for Lecce. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.