Serie A · Matchweek 17
Como
COM
Lecce
LEC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Como70%
Draw20%
Lecce11%
Expected goals
2.08 – 0.71
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.4%
- 2–013.4%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–18.9%
- 3–08.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Como will have the ball; Lecce will not mind.
62%Possession42%
48%Territory41%
23%From set plays31%
0.12Chance quality0.10
3.2%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Como, 4 for Lecce.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 34 of 98 matches, not the full season.