Serie A · Matchweek 15
Como
COM
Bologna
BOL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Como63%
Draw23%
Bologna15%
Expected goals
1.89 – 0.83
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.0%
- 2–011.6%
- 1–110.3%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Como will have the ball; Bologna will not mind.
62%Possession43%
48%Territory39%
23%From set plays34%
0.12Chance quality0.17
3.2%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Como, 4 for Bologna.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.