Serie A · Matchweek 15
Como
COM
Bologna
BOL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Como60%
Draw24%
Bologna16%
Expected goals
1.79 – 0.83
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.5%
- 2–011.4%
- 1–110.7%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
61%Possession54%
52%Territory40%
19%From set plays9%
0.08Chance quality0.07
3.5%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Como, 3 for Bologna. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Bologna
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.