Serie A · Matchweek 14
Monza
MON
Como
COM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Monza16%
Draw22%
Como62%
Expected goals
0.89 – 1.92
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 0–112.1%
- 0–211.0%
- 1–110.2%
- 1–29.9%
- 0–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Como will have the ball; Monza will not mind.
43%Possession62%
37%Territory48%
22%From set plays23%
0.16Chance quality0.12
4.7%Directness3.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Monza, 4 for Como.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 34 of 98 matches, not the full season.