Serie A · Matchweek 13
Como
COM
Juventus
JUV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Como44%
Draw31%
Juventus24%
Expected goals
1.23 – 0.86
Over 2.5
35%
Both to score
42%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–015.5%
- 0–013.8%
- 1–113.1%
- 0–110.4%
- 2–08.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Juventus get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
62%Possession57%
48%Territory44%
23%From set plays46%
0.12Chance quality0.08
3.2%Directness3.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Como, 4 for Juventus.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 99 matches, not the full season.