Serie A · Matchweek 12
Como
COM
Cagliari
CAG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Como67%
Draw21%
Cagliari12%
Expected goals
1.99 – 0.74
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.5%
- 2–012.9%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–19.5%
- 3–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Como will have the ball; Cagliari will not mind.
62%Possession44%
48%Territory32%
23%From set plays19%
0.12Chance quality0.13
3.2%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Como, 4 for Cagliari.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 100 matches, not the full season.