Serie A · Matchweek 12
Como
COM
Cagliari
CAG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Como68%
Draw20%
Cagliari12%
Expected goals
2.09 – 0.79
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.3%
- 2–012.3%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–19.2%
- 3–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Como will have the ball; Cagliari will not mind.
61%Possession39%
52%Territory31%
19%From set plays29%
0.08Chance quality0.13
3.5%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Como, 3 for Cagliari. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.