Serie A · Matchweek 11
Inter
INT
Como
COM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Inter48%
Draw24%
Como28%
Expected goals
1.82 – 1.38
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.4%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–07.9%
- 1–26.8%
- 2–06.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
65%Possession61%
48%Territory52%
29%From set plays19%
0.12Chance quality0.08
4.5%Directness3.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Inter, 3 for Como. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.