Serie A · Matchweek 11
Inter
INT
Como
COM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Inter47%
Draw27%
Como26%
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.12
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–011.2%
- 2–19.3%
- 2–08.0%
- 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
63%Possession62%
56%Territory48%
24%From set plays23%
0.13Chance quality0.12
3.9%Directness3.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Inter, 4 for Como.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.