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Serie A · Matchweek 8

Como

COM

Sassuolo

SAS

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Como65%
Draw20%
Sassuolo14%

Expected goals

2.12 – 0.93

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 2010.7%
  • 1010.6%
  • 219.9%
  • 119.3%
  • 307.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Como will have the ball; Sassuolo will not mind.

61%Possession42%
52%Territory40%
19%From set plays13%
0.08Chance quality0.10
3.5%Directness5.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Como, 3 for Sassuolo. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.